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24 Oct · 09:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1472
2-3Final setsDabrowski won
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1420
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 57%. The actual result was Igor Dabrowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mleczko favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 74.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mleczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mleczko −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Igor Dabrowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 54% → final 0%
Igor Dabrowski ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsDabrowski recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games