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24 Oct · 09:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TPTomasz Pisarczyk
🇵🇱Tomasz Pisarczyk
ELO 1347
3-1Final setsPisarczyk won
JMJakub Michalczyk
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1418
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalczyk at 58%. The actual result was Tomasz Pisarczyk 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michalczyk favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michalczyk −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomasz Pisarczyk is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalczyk.

▲ Tomasz Pisarczykpre 38% → final 97%
Jakub Michalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsPisarczyk recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games