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24 Oct · 10:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1472
3-0Final setsMleczko won
JMJakub Michalczyk
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1418
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 55%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mleczko favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mleczko −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mleczko −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalczyk.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 59% → final 96%
Jakub Michalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts54 points · 3 games