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24 Oct · 11:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AMAdrian Myszewski
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1409
3-1Final setsMyszewski won
JNJakub Nosiadek
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1343
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Myszewski at 56%. The actual result was Adrian Myszewski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Myszewski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Myszewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Myszewski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Myszewski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nosiadek.

▲ Adrian Myszewskipre 60% → final 91%
Jakub Nosiadek ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsMyszewski recovered from 41%72 points · 4 games