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24 Oct · 11:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1295
3-1Final setsRolak won
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1224
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 57%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Waclaw Suchecki.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 54% → final 13%
Waclaw Suchecki ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsSuchecki recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games