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24 Oct · 12:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1295
0-3Final setsNosiadek won
JNJakub Nosiadek
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1343
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nosiadek at 54%. The actual result was Jakub Nosiadek 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Nosiadek favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Nosiadek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Nosiadek −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nosiadek.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 42% → final 2%
Jakub Nosiadek ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts50 points · 3 games