24 Oct · 15:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1485
FormLLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Juszczyk
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1376
FormLLWWL
62%
38%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 80% (30)
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H27-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-24)