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24 Oct · 14:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1467
2-3Final setsWasilewski won
DWDamian Wasilewski
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1461
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 52%. The actual result was Damian Wasilewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mleczko favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 73.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mleczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mleczko −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Damian Wasilewski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 49% → final 5%
Damian Wasilewski ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsWasilewski recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games