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24 Oct · 13:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1288
1-3Final setsSinicki won
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1361
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 57%. The actual result was Maciej Sinicki 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Sinicki favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 74.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Sinicki −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maciej Sinicki −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Maciej Sinicki.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 39% → final 4%
Maciej Sinicki ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts71 points · 4 games