25 Oct · 14:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1478
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1522
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)