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24 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JNJakub Nosiadek
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1349
3-1Final setsNosiadek won
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1212
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nosiadek at 64%. The actual result was Jakub Nosiadek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Nosiadek favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 75.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Nosiadek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Nosiadek −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Nosiadek is favoured to win, below means Waclaw Suchecki.

▲ Jakub Nosiadekpre 69% → final 92%
Waclaw Suchecki ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsNosiadek recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games