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25 Oct · 17:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1523
2-3Final setsKubiak won
AKArtur Kubiak
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1495
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 58%. The actual result was Artur Kubiak 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Mucha favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 75.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Mucha is favoured to win, below means Artur Kubiak.

▲ Grzegorz Muchapre 55% → final 12%
Artur Kubiak ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsKubiak recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games