26 Oct · 00:55 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1568
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Chmielowski
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1685
FormLLLLW
37%
63%
🌟Chmielowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (73)
Fair odds · Chmielowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)