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25 Oct · 00:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JCJakub Chmielowski
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1685
3-2Final setsChmielowski won
FMFilip Mlynarski
🇵🇱Filip Mlynarski
ELO 1673
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmielowski at 54%. The actual result was Jakub Chmielowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mlynarski favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 73.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mlynarski −1.5 sets
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Chmielowski is favoured to win, below means Filip Mlynarski.

▲ Jakub Chmielowskipre 51% → final 99%
Filip Mlynarski ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsChmielowski recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games