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DeuceLab
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24 Oct · 17:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1504
3-2Final setsMichalik won
AFAndriej Fomin
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fomin at 58%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Andriej Fomin favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 77.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Andriej Fomin −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Andriej Fomin −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Michalik is favoured to win, below means Andriej Fomin.

▲ Jerzy Michalikpre 45% → final 88%
Andriej Fomin ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsMichalik recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games