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24 Oct · 18:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RWRoman Wiza
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1445
3-1Final setsWiza won
DFDamian Fira
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1400
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wiza at 52%. The actual result was Roman Wiza 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Fira favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Fira −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Fira −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Wiza is favoured to win, below means Damian Fira.

▲ Roman Wizapre 49% → final 77%
Damian Fira ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsWiza recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games