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24 Oct · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1609
3-2Final setsZmijewski won
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1513
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 62%. The actual result was Artur Zmijewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zmijewski favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 73.5
108 points played
Over
Set handicap
Zmijewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Zmijewski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Zmijewski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Artur Zmijewskipre 66% → final 80%
Grzegorz Mucha ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsZmijewski recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games