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24 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMichal Krutak
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1612
1-3Final setsMucha won
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1513
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krutak at 60%. The actual result was Grzegorz Mucha 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krutak favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Set handicap
Krutak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krutak −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Krutak is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Michal Krutakpre 57% → final 1%
Grzegorz Mucha ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsMucha recovered from 43%72 points · 4 games