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24 Oct · 20:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1378
1-3Final setsKwodawski won
BKBartosz Kwodawski
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1409
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Eliasz at 50%. The actual result was Bartosz Kwodawski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kwodawski favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Set handicap
Kwodawski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kwodawski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Eliasz is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Kwodawski.

▲ Adrian Eliaszpre 54% → final 2%
Bartosz Kwodawski ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsKwodawski recovered from 23%72 points · 4 games