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Ratings & Predictions
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24 Oct · 22:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BKBartosz Kwodawski
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1409
3-2Final setsKwodawski won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1378
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kwodawski at 50%. The actual result was Bartosz Kwodawski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kwodawski favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Set handicap
Kwodawski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kwodawski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Kwodawski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Bartosz Kwodawskipre 46% → final 98%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsKwodawski recovered from 23%72 points · 4 games