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25 Oct · 00:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1523
3-1Final setsMucha won
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1475
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 53%. The actual result was Grzegorz Mucha 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mucha favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mucha −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mucha −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Mucha is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Michalik.

▲ Grzegorz Muchapre 57% → final 90%
Jerzy Michalik ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsMucha recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games