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24 Oct · 23:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BKBartosz Kwodawski
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1409
3-0Final setsKwodawski won
BCBlazej Cioch
🇵🇱Blazej Cioch
ELO 1398
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cioch at 52%. The actual result was Bartosz Kwodawski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Blazej Cioch favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Blazej Cioch −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Blazej Cioch −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Kwodawski is favoured to win, below means Blazej Cioch.

▲ Bartosz Kwodawskipre 44% → final 89%
Blazej Cioch ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsKwodawski recovered from 28%69 points · 4 games