25 Oct · 00:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1388
2-3Final setsFira won
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1400
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Nowak at 56%. The actual result was Damian Fira 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Nowak favoured — closing 1.8
Set handicap
Nowak −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Nowak −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Nowak is favoured to win, below means Damian Fira.
▲ Jakub Nowakpre 60% → final 41%
Damian Fira ▼
Biggest swing 38 ptsFira recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games