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25 Oct · 01:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1523
3-2Final setsMucha won
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1609
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 62%. The actual result was Grzegorz Mucha 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zmijewski favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Set handicap
Zmijewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Zmijewski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Mucha is favoured to win, below means Artur Zmijewski.

▲ Grzegorz Muchapre 40% → final 74%
Artur Zmijewski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsMucha recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games