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25 Oct · 02:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1482
3-1Final setsMichalik won
ASAndrzej Szurgot
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1451
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szurgot at 51%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michalik favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michalik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michalik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Michalik is favoured to win, below means Andrzej Szurgot.

▲ Jerzy Michalikpre 53% → final 89%
Andrzej Szurgot ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts72 points · 4 games