Jakub Michalczyk vs Arkadiusz Mugowski — TT Elite Series

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25 Oct · 10:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk

ELO 1405

1-3Final setsMugowski won

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1381

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalczyk at 53%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Mugowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

Jakub Michalczyk — profile →Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mugowski favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 76.5

74 points played

Under

Set handicap

Mugowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mugowski −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalczyk is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Jakub Michalczykpre 50% → final 5%

Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼

Biggest swing 59 ptsMugowski recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games