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25 Oct · 10:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1530
1-3Final setsSzostok won
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1497
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 56%. The actual result was Sebastian Szostok 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Szostok favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Szostok −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Szostok −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 60% → final 90%
Sebastian Szostok ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 5 games