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25 Oct · 11:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1530
0-3Final setsJesiek won
JJJakub Jesiek
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1478
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 59%. The actual result was Jakub Jesiek 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 74.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tkaczyk −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Jakub Jesiek.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 63% → final 100%
Jakub Jesiek ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsTkaczyk recovered from 38%62 points · 3 games