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25 Oct · 06:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1371
3-2Final setsSinicki won
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1347
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 51%. The actual result was Maciej Sinicki 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sinicki favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 78.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sinicki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sinicki −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Piotr Staniszewski.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 53% → final 77%
Piotr Staniszewski ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsSinicki recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games