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25 Oct · 06:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JLJakub Lamperski
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1523
3-0Final setsLamperski won
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1395
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lamperski at 62%. The actual result was Jakub Lamperski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mugowski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
45 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mugowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mugowski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Lamperski is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Jakub Lamperskipre 60% → final 100%
Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts43 points · 3 games