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25 Oct · 05:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1347
2-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1265
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 60%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Staniszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Staniszewski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Staniszewski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Piotr Staniszewskipre 64% → final 25%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games