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25 Oct · 07:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1520
1-3Final setsJuszczyk won
KJKrzysztof Juszczyk
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1500
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 53%. The actual result was Krzysztof Juszczyk 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Koczyba favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 73.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Koczyba −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Juszczyk.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 50% → final 11%
Krzysztof Juszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts72 points · 4 games