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25 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1265
1-3Final setsPiotrowski won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1396
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 59%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.32
Favourite won
Total 71.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotrowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotrowski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 37% → final 9%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts72 points · 4 games