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25 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1520
3-1Final setsKoczyba won
PMPatryk Mecik
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1356
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 66%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Koczyba favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 73.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Koczyba −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Koczyba −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Patryk Mecik.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 71% → final 100%
Patryk Mecik ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsKoczyba recovered from 23%68 points · 4 games