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25 Oct · 10:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1396
3-1Final setsPiotrowski won
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1354
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 53%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Skorski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Skorski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Skorski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Michal Skorski.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 50% → final 78%
Michal Skorski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsPiotrowski recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games