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25 Oct · 10:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RWRafal Wojcik
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1454
3-1Final setsWojcik won
TLTomasz Lojtek
🇵🇱Tomasz Lojtek
ELO 1367
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wojcik at 59%. The actual result was Rafal Wojcik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lojtek favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lojtek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lojtek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Wojcik is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Lojtek.

▲ Rafal Wojcikpre 56% → final 98%
Tomasz Lojtek ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsWojcik recovered from 19%72 points · 4 games