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25 Oct · 10:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KSKacper Szurlej
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1621
3-0Final setsSzurlej won
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1379
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szurlej at 73%. The actual result was Kacper Szurlej 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Szurlej favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 71.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Szurlej −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Szurlej −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Szurlej is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Misiak.

▲ Kacper Szurlejpre 78% → final 99%
Mateusz Misiak ▼
Biggest swing 25 pts52 points · 3 games