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25 Oct · 11:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1371
3-0Final setsTrela won
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1395
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mugowski at 55%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Trela favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 76.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Trela −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Trela −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
9.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 41% → final 2%
Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 4 games