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25 Oct · 11:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1331
3-1Final setsSzoltysek won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1396
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 58%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 72.5
73 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotrowski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Szoltysek is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Artur Szoltysekpre 38% → final 9%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsPiotrowski recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games