25 Oct · 13:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1331
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sinicki
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1371
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H14-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.