25 Oct · 13:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1454
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1535
FormLLLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H16-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-3)