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25 Oct · 15:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1504
3-0Final setsKukawka won
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1381
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kukawka at 62%. The actual result was Milosz Kukawka 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milosz Kukawka favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Set handicap
Milosz Kukawka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Milosz Kukawka −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Kukawka is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Milosz Kukawkapre 66% → final 99%
Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼
Biggest swing 34 pts53 points · 3 games