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25 Oct · 15:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1349
3-1Final setsSinicki won
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1352
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 51%. The actual result was Maciej Sinicki 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Set handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Piotr Staniszewski.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 53% → final 77%
Piotr Staniszewski ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsSinicki recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games