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25 Oct · 17:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GSGrzegorz Sawicki
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1376
3-2Final setsSawicki won
SKSebastian Krupa
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1507
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krupa at 68%. The actual result was Grzegorz Sawicki 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Krupa favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Set handicap
Sebastian Krupa −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sebastian Krupa −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Sawicki is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Krupa.

▲ Grzegorz Sawickipre 34% → final 87%
Sebastian Krupa ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsSawicki recovered from 31%72 points · 5 games