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25 Oct · 20:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1541
3-1Final setsMarud won
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1458
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 60%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Michal Paszkiewicz.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 64% → final 92%
Michal Paszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 4 games