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25 Oct · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1342
3-2Final setsKotwica won
JZJakub Zochniak
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1572
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zochniak at 74%. The actual result was Dawid Kotwica 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Zochniak favoured — closing 1.14
Upset
Total 68.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Zochniak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Zochniak −10.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
12.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kotwica is favoured to win, below means Jakub Zochniak.

▲ Dawid Kotwicapre 27% → final 96%
Jakub Zochniak ▼
Biggest swing 92 ptsKotwica recovered from 4%72 points · 5 games