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25 Oct · 22:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SKSebastian Krupa
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1507
3-2Final setsKrupa won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1585
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 60%. The actual result was Sebastian Krupa 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 73.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Krupa is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Sebastian Krupapre 43% → final 75%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsKrupa recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games