26 Oct · 00:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1479
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1505
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Linek goes over total as underdog 66% (58)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H49-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.