26 Oct · 00:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1376
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sawicki
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1353
FormWLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Sawicki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H8-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.