26 Oct · 00:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1491
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1541
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Marud stays under total as favourite 73% (30)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H90-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (90-73)